Wednesday, 20 March 2013

"Smart" Money in KLSE


One research house in an attempt to figure out the flows of "smart" money have  filtered out reported institutional buyings and found that Sapura Kencana and Astro have topped the list. (details as below)

Sapura Kencana
While there is little need to tell about Sapura Kencana's background as this company has being well covered by all brokers; Bloomberg survey has given it a consensus target price of 3.74 (24.6% upside from RM3), Their massive order book of RM12b that will last for them for the next 2-3 years leaving them with only execution delay risk. Aquisition of Seadrill, a market leader in tender-rig space will allow SapuraKencana to break their net profit margins (commonly high single digit for fabricators) to an estimated 14-15%. The enlarged balance sheet will also allow them to compete with industrial heavy weights in the international waters.
Currently they are contending for 6-7 fabrication jobs for Centralized Processing Platforms worth RM5-6b, Pan Malaysia topside maintenance & Hook-up and Commissioning (HUC) umbrella contract worth RM8-10b

Astro
Post Listing, Market has priced Astro currently at RM2.7-.8 range post listing. Despite the disappointed listing, One should not forget that Astro being the largest paid TV Operator in South East Asia with Monopoly in Malaysia is proxy to Malaysia's young and growing population. Government has targeted to raise our Gross National Income to exceed USD15,000 by 2018 (currently USD12,500). Paid TV has high barrier of entry due to its costly content and capex coupled with low coverage of High Speed Broad Band, Astro's services are still irreplaceable. Incidentally, Astro's ventured into HD Content and IP Based transmission with TIME & Maxis will further lock in customers and increase Average Revenue Per User (ARPU). Bloomberg currently has a street consensus of RM3.21 (12.6% upside from RM2.85).
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Hi all,

So much talk about foreign money flowing into the FBM KLCI but where are they going? , Just to get an idea where the "SMART Money" interest are, we filtered out some of the stocks with the most new institutional investors who recently reported their holdings.(note the filter is a guide only base on BLOOMBERG Compiled Data)

From the table below we can see that SAPURAKENCANA, ASTRO & AIRASIA has added the higest new institutional investors who previously did not hold the stock. Note also that we aso inculded the % calculation of the today's prices vs the Bloomberg Consesnsus Average Target Prices under the heading -BEst TP/Px last in %.




GENTING Berhad (Technical)

Genting touched its uptrend channel at RM9.67 currently. might be a good punt as the shares have been progressing nicely of late. might retest RM10 resistance


Tuesday, 19 March 2013

Some interesting Update on Iskandar Developments and Companies that are involved.


ISKANDAR - 5 Flag ship Zones
Zone A: Johor Bahru City- Johor Bahru is the Central Business District and the State Capital of Johor. It is also the main gateway into and out of Singapore (via the Causeway).The current key economic activities in Flagship A are financial services, commerce and retail, arts and culture, hospitality, urban tourism, plastic manufacturing, electrical and electronics (E&E) and food processing.

Key players in Flagship A
Financial institutions - Citigroup, HSBC and Kuwait Finance House,
Major manufacturers - YKK, Celestica, Lion Group, Sumitomo and Kerry’s Ingredients
Local developers - Danga Bay Holdings, Pelangi, Mah Sing and Crescendo

Zone B: Nusajaya- Focused on mixed property development, state & federal administration and logistics. Flagship B will be a major new growth centre of Iskandar Malaysia where most of the catalyst projects will be developed within the area such as creative arts and entertainment, medical facilities, educational institutions, tourism, biotechnology and hi-tech manufacturing. The projected population size for this area by 2025 is 500,000.

Key players in Flagship B
Are property developers including UEM Land, Iskandar Investment Berhad and Mulpha International Bhd, SP Setia, to name a few.

In August 2007, the Middle Eastern Consortium (Mubadala, Kuwait Finance House and Millennium Development) and Iskandar Investment Berhad had signed a MOU to develop a RM4.2 billion (US$1.2 billion) integrated international city development, referred to as Medini (formerly known as Node 1).

Zone C: Western Gate Development- Key economic activities in Flagship C are port and marine services, warehousing, logistics, engineering, hi-tech manufacturing, food production, petrochemical industry, entry port trade. Flagship C boasts a logistic centre, regional distribution centres, regional procurement centres and utilities (power).

Key players in Flagship C
MMC Corp Bhd, a public-listed company in Bursa Malaysia, is the main player in Flagship C via its shareholdings in the Port of Tanjung Pelepas (PTP) and the Tanjung Bin Power Plant.

Zone D: Eastern Gate Development-  Flagship D are focused on heavy industries and logistics, including electrical and electronics (E&E), chemical, oleochemical, food and engineering-based industries as well as ports and logistics and warehousing. Flagship D has the largest concentration of palm oil refining industries and downstream activities in the world.

Key players in Flagship D
Pasir Gudang include both local and international companies such as Bahru Steel, Panasonic, Titan, Kiswire, Western Digital and IOI Loders.

Zone E: Senai/Skudai- Key economic activities in Flagship E are airport services, engineering, electrical and electronics (E&E) and education. Going forward, Flagship E would also be the hub for agro and food processing, ICT and retail tourism. Flagship E is synonymous with Senai International Airport and Universiti Teknologi Malaysia (UTM).

Other key players in Flagship D
include Lee Rubber, Boustead, Genting Property, IOI Properties and Johor Corporation.

“UEM Land is still “the” Iskandar proxy. In our opinion, UEM Land’s landbanks are mainly concentrated in Nusajaya (still relatively strategic given the close proximity to Singapore via the Second Link) and the collaboration is in the form of G2G, namely between Khazanah and Temasek. In Tebrau Teguh’s case, it is a partnership between Johor State and private developer, with iconic waterfront developments focused in Danga Bay and along the Tebrau Coast. We believe UEM Land is still the key proxy to the Iskandar theme for its size, trading liquidity, ownership and development abilities.” - UOB Kay Hian